Expected Returns (Real Numbers)
Based on 90 days of live data from our dashboard tracking actual Aster-Backpack spreads:
Conservative scenario: 12 arbitrage opportunities daily, average 0.12% net profit per trade. Daily return: 1.44%. Monthly: 43.2%. Annualized: 520% APY.
Moderate scenario: 15 opportunities daily, average 0.15% net profit. Daily return: 2.25%. Monthly: 67.5%. Annualized: 810% APY.
Optimal scenario: 18 opportunities daily, average 0.18% net profit. Daily return: 3.24%. Monthly: 97.2%. Annualized: 1,164% APY.
Realistic expectation: Competition will increase as more capital enters arbitrage. We project sustainable returns between 200-400% APY for the first 6 months, then stabilizing around 80-150% APY long-term as markets become more efficient.
Important: These are NOT guaranteed returns. Arbitrage opportunities vary with market volatility. During low volatility periods, returns decrease. During high volatility (like major news events), opportunities explode.
Last updated

